MR. SHAPIRO: I am
going to start by giving the history and the context of the report "Transparency and
Participation in the Budget Process, The South African Case." I will discuss how we
came to do it and some of our goals and thinking in taking it forward after the report is
complete.
One idea that came out of the last conference was that it made sense for us to develop
a common project for various groups in attendance, and that for this project it made sense
to identify a key issue that we all address and that we might want to measure our
different governments against some type of common standard. The belief was that a joint
project was not only a good way to share knowledge if we have the right theme, but also
that the work in the different countries might reinforce each other.
This led to the idea of the transparency scorecard. Those of you on the list serve may
remember the exchange that we had about it a few months after the conference. Let me begin
with the reasons why we thought a transparency scorecard might be a good joint effort. The
first is indeed it is a common challenge that we all face. Second, we thought that it was
a very important starting point for all our work. As we all know, the lack of transparency
is a necessary obstacle to overcome before we can do our work. We can't do analysis
without information and we can't put that analysis into the public debate unless the
debate is constructed in a way that allows for participation.
So the initial idea presented to the List serve was to develop something I had labeled
a Transparency and Democracy Scorecard, to rate a number of countries against it, and then
to do some type of simultaneous release around the world that would include individual
reports for a number of countries as well as a general report synthesising the results.
This idea subsequently has been modified for two main reasons. The first reason had to
do with the List serve discussion itself, which raised several important points that we
had to take into consideration. One point was that an emphasis on democracy wasn't one
that everyone felt comfortable with and that the concept of participation was closer to
what people thought should be incorporated into the report. Democracy and participation,
of course, are closely linked.
The second point raised by the list serve discussion was that it was not clear what the
right scoring system would be. Should we give countries a grade or would that be too
simplified and not allow for the nuances and subtle differences between the countries?
There was also a concern that it didn't make sense to compare countries against each other
because that doesn't allow for an analysis of the context that the different countries
face. For instance, should the same set of transparency standards apply to the U.S. as
apply to South Africa when the U.S. has had more than 200 years to develop an open budget
process, and South Africa has just had the experience of 4½ years to develop such a
process?
The second major reason that we decided to modify the initial idea is that we came
across the IMF standards after we had discussed this on the List serve, and the standards
do provide an excellent base from which we can depart and from which we can work from. We
realised that we should and had to take the IMF standards into account. So the idea we
came up with was that instead of launching the project with the simultaneous release
approach, when there were all these issues to sort out about what is the best scorecard
and how it can be applied, we decided to start with a pilot effort.
This is the effort that we have been engaged in with Idasa. A pilot effort allows us to
develop a methodology. It allows us to assess all the questions that were raised in the
List serve discussion and it allows us to figure out what our approach should be relative
to the IMF model. Based on this report and experience I think we can really figure out how
to proceed and that hopefully there will be a lot of discussion on what to do so
not only this session but this afternoon is specifically designed to discuss those issues.
One of the ways we can proceed, of course, is to say, well the model we developed is
pretty good. Some of you might want to take the exact model and run forward with it. My
guess though is that we will have a few modifications at least. We may ultimately decide
to do some type of cross-country synthesis. A cross-country synthesis will be a lot easier
if we are working from essentially the same model and the advantage of the cross-country
synthesis is that it makes it easier for the work to reinforce each other.
We might also decide to develop specialised reports. One such request was raised by
Richard Humphreys and others in the question period of the last session, and that is we
can develop a scorecard that is particularly applicable and appropriate to the
sub-national level. The scorecard that we used did shed light on issues at the
sub-national level in South Africa, but there are some different questions that we would
ask if we began at the sub-national level and decided to develop a scorecard for those
issues.
We might also develop a military transparency scorecard. When it comes to transparency
it is hard enough to achieve for domestic issues, but of course it is much more
complicated and tougher to accomplish in the area of military expenditures. So there might
be some basic defense budget questions that could develop into a separate scorecard or
perhaps that could be incorporated into our survey, which we didn't do at this point.
So we have embarked on this joint report. The full paper is not done. This is our first
presentation of our findings. The bulk of the work has been done by Idasa and by Alta, so
let me turn it over to her.